What random variable should I use?

Unit 1

core probability, axiom of probability, counting, combination, permutation, DeMorgan’s Law.

• SU-CS109 SEP272023
• SU-CS109 SEP292023
• SU-CS109 OCT022023
• SU-CS109 OCT042023
• SU-CS109 OCT062023
• SU-CS109 OCT112023

Unit 2

random variables

• SU-CS109 OCT092023
• SU-CS109 OCT132023
• SU-CS109 OCT162023
• SU-CS109 OCT182023

Unit 3

inference, General Inference

• SU-CS109 OCT202023
• SU-CS109 OCT232023
• SU-CS109 OCT252023
• SU-CS109 OCT272023

Unit 4

Beta Distribution, central limit theorem, bootstrapping

• SU-CS109 NOV012023
• SU-CS109 NOV032023
• SU-CS109 NOV102023

Unit 5

Apredezahe de machinas: Naive Bayes, logistic regression, deep learning

• SU-CS109 NOV132023
• SU-CS109 NOV292023
• SU-CS109 DEC012023
• SU-CS109 DEC042023

Notes

• SU-CS109 Midterm
• SU-CS109 Midterm Sheet

Lecture notes taking during CS238, decision making. Stanford Intelligence Systems Laboratory (SISL: planning and validation of intelligent systems).

Big Ideas

Themes

1. There’s a principled mathematical framework for defining rational behavior
2. There are computational techniques that could lead to better, and perhaps counter-intuitive decisions
3. Successful application depends on your choice of representation and approximation
   • you typically can’t solve mathematical models exactly
   • so, we have to rely on good models of approximations
4. The same computational approaches can be applied to different application domains
   • the same set of abstractions can be carried through life
   • send Mykel a note about how these topics about where this stuff is applied

These algorithms drive high quality decisions on a tight timeline. You can’t fuck up: people die.

A Differential Equation is a function-valued algebreic equation whose unknown is an entire function \(y(x)\), where the equation involves a combination of derivatives $y(x), y’(x), …$.

See Differential Equations Index

and Uniqueness and Existance

Presented

• Project80

Talks

People Meeters

Why do we have a market?

Basically: it allows society to make decisions about the value of things—with the wisdom of the crowd. The stock market is how we (as people) decide what to make and how to make it.

Misc. Questions About the Market

Misc. Financial Market Questions

Knowledge

• price
• Random Walk Hypothesis
• Brownian Motion
• Arbitrage Pricing
• Derivative Pricing
• options
• CAPM
• Stochastic Discount Factor
• GARCH
• ETF
• accounting price
• stock indicies
• VWAP
• short selling
• darkpool
• fundamental investing
  • Second-Level Thinking
• stock market survey
• OTC markets
• NBBO
• LiquidNet